“Would love to be there right now... I hear Coco View calling my name; come home, come home, come home...” - DWolgast
Doc's Daily Weather Report
The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast CoCoView is at 16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
In the NW Caribbean Sea
Friday, October 21, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph or less. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms today.
Seas will be moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - A cold front extending from SE Louisiana to inland far NE Mexico will race eastward...reaching from Tampa Bay, FL to the SW Gulf this evening...then move across the Straits of Florida Sat night. Strong NW to N WINDS and building seas are expected behind the front off the coast of Tamaulipas and Veracruz, Mexico today...reaching minimal gale force this afternoon and tonight. High pressure will build in the wake of the front Sun and prevail through Tue night.
2. Caribbean Sea - A broad area of low pressure will persist across the SW Caribbean through early Sat. Northerly swell in the tropical N Atlantic will gradually decay through Sun...while mixed NE and E swell in the eastern Caribbean will decay through Sat. A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Sat night...then stall from the Windward Passage to eastern Honduras Sun...and slowly dissipate early next week. A weak surface trough from eastern Jamaica SW to inland northern Nicaragua will be absorbed by the cold front.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. A broad area of low pressure is centered east of the northern Bahamas. The central pressure of the low is 1001 mb and is located near 28N73W. Scattered moderate convection and isolated tstms are within 150 nm from the low center. To the east of the low center, a rainband supported by a diffluent environment aloft generates scattered showers and tstms from 20N to 36N between 60W and 70W. Showers also continue across Hispaniola, mainly across Dominican Republic, with GOES QPE imagery showing there accumulations of up to 2 inches over the last 6 hours. There is still a medium chance for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with an approaching cold front well offshore of the United States east coast tonight. A tight pressure gradient between a cold front and high pressure building in its wake will generate gale force winds in the Gulf of Mexico tonight. The front is expected to be along 29N82W to 26N90W to 19N95W and the gale winds from 21N to 24N west of 96W with seas to 8 ft. These conditions are forecast through Saturday.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 06N to 16N with axis near 44W, moving W at 15 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave is in a region of unfavorable to neutral deep layer wind shear. Furthermore, CIRA LPW imagery from surface to 850 mb show pockets of dry air in the wave environment while water vapor imagery show dry air in the middle to upper levels. These factors are limiting the convection to scattered showers from 06N to 14N between 37W and 53W.
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 1:13 am LT Sunrise – 5:41 am LT>101° East
low tide 7:54 am LT Sunset – 5:22 pm LT < 259° NW
high tide 2:35 pm LT Moon Rise – 10:54 pm LT<72° East
low tide 9:02 pm LT Moon Set – 11:09 am LT>289º West
When planning a vacation to Roatan you should be aware that, like other countries in the Caribbean, the island is a tropical region with year-round warm temperatures. Monthly averages range from a low of 72°F (22°C) to a high of 89°F (31°C), and even the coldest night will still be comfortably warm.
The weather year round on Roatan is mostly sunny and markedly temperate when compared to northern climes. The seasonal differences are much more subtle than in northern latitudes, but they do exist.
February through May the easterly trade winds are moderate and rainfall is negligible. The ocean water begins to warm and air temperatures range from the high 70s °F to the low 80s °F.
June 1st marks the start of the tropical season in the Western Hemisphere. Roatan is well off the common major hurricane tracks; experiencing about one major hurricane every 20 years. From June through mid-October, skies are mostly sunny with a chance of intermittent rain showers.
By mid-October, ocean water temperatures are in the low to mid- 80s °F and air temperatures are in the mid-80s °F to low 90s °F. Trade winds are the strongest during the month of July.
In the Western Caribbean Sea, ocean water temperatures reach their peak around the middle of October. This coincides with the beginning of winter in the northern hemisphere. The cold fronts that bring snow to Canada and the USA make their way south to us, eventually. When this cool air mass collides with the warm tropical air, the result is rain.
During the fall and winter, when a cold front passes through, night time air temperatures can fall into the high 60s°F. Dive parkas, hoodies and hot chocolate are the order of the day. However, overcast skies and rain will soon give way to sunshine and higher temperatures.