“Would love to be there right now... I hear Coco View calling my name; come home, come home, come home...” - DWolgast
Doc's Daily Weather Report
The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast CoCoView is at 16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
In the NW Caribbean Sea
The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
Thursday July 28, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be moderate to rough at 2 ft to 4 ft or higher..
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - High pressure will prevail over the Gulf waters through the period. A trough will move off the W coast of the Yucatan Peninsula each evening and dissipate over the SW Gulf each morning.
2. Caribbean Sea - The combination of high pressure NE of the area and lower pres over the SW Caribbean Sea will maintain fresh to strong trades over much of the central Caribbean through Fri. Winds and seas will decrease slightly on Sat and Sun...then increase once again on Mon and Tue. A tropical wave will exit the W Caribbean tonight. Another tropical wave will reach the E Caribbean on Sat.
3. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. However, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development early next week when the system is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
4. Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is in the east Atlantic east of the Cape Verde Islands. The wave extends from 07N-15N with axis near 19W, moving W at 5 kt within the last 18 hours. The wave is associated with a 1011 mb low located near 10N19W and is being engulfed by Saharan dry air and dust, which have significantly reduced the convection associated with it. The CIRA LPW imagery show dry air from the surface to 850 mb in the northern wave environment, which is devoid of convection. A cluster of heavy showers is associated with the center of low pressure and extends from 08N-11N between 18W and 21W. Isolated showers are elsewhere from 07N-12N E of 23W. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves W or W-NW.
4b.A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 10N-20N with axis near 35W, moving at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. Meteosat composite imagery show Saharan dry air and dust in the wave environment. CIRA LPW imagery from the surface to 850 mb confirms dry air intrusion in the wave environment, which is keeping the wave devoid of convection.
4c. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic from 08N-17N with axis near 46W, moving west at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. CIRA LPW imagery show mainly dry air from the surface to 850 mb associated with this wave. The dry air is due to the presence of abundant Saharan dry air and dust, which continue to hinder convection at the time.
4d. A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean from 12N-22N with axis near 81W, moving west at 25 kt within the last 24 hours. Aloft, water vapor imagery show strong dry subsidence across most of the SW Caribbean, which is inhibiting convection in that region of the wave. However, shallow moisture in the NW Caribbean and divergent flow aloft support isolated showers and tstms N of 17N W of 79W.
5. ...ITCZ/Monsoon Trough... The Monsoon Trough extends across Africa into the east Tropical Atlantic near 14N17W and continues to 10N30W to 09N40W to 08N48W where the ITCZ begins and continues to Venezuela near 08N60W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves, numerous heavy showers are from 06N-11N between 26W and 38W.
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 3:584 am LT Sunrise – 5:28 am LT>70° East
low tide 10:45 am LT Sunset – 6:19 pm LT < 290° NW
high tide 5:30 pm LT Moon Rise – 00:34 pm LT<76° East
low tide 11:26 pm LT Moon Set – 01:36 am LT>286º West
When planning a vacation to Roatan you should be aware that, like other countries in the Caribbean, the island is a tropical region with year-round warm temperatures. Monthly averages range from a low of 72°F (22°C) to a high of 89°F (31°C), and even the coldest night will still be comfortably warm.
The weather year round on Roatan is mostly sunny and markedly temperate when compared to northern climes. The seasonal differences are much more subtle than in northern latitudes, but they do exist.
February through May the easterly trade winds are moderate and rainfall is negligible. The ocean water begins to warm and air temperatures range from the high 70s °F to the low 80s °F.
June 1st marks the start of the tropical season in the Western Hemisphere. Roatan is well off the common major hurricane tracks; experiencing about one major hurricane every 20 years. From June through mid-October, skies are mostly sunny with a chance of intermittent rain showers.
By mid-October, ocean water temperatures are in the low to mid- 80s °F and air temperatures are in the mid-80s °F to low 90s °F. Trade winds are the strongest during the month of July.
In the Western Caribbean Sea, ocean water temperatures reach their peak around the middle of October. This coincides with the beginning of winter in the northern hemisphere. The cold fronts that bring snow to Canada and the USA make their way south to us, eventually. When this cool air mass collides with the warm tropical air, the result is rain.
During the fall and winter, when a cold front passes through, night time air temperatures can fall into the high 60s°F. Dive parkas, hoodies and hot chocolate are the order of the day. However, overcast skies and rain will soon give way to sunshine and higher temperatures.